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HowRisky

A financial risk analysis server providing institutional-grade Monte Carlo simulations and fat-tail modeling for portfolios, startup equity, real estate, and private assets.

Stars
1
Tools
8
Updated
Nov 7, 2025
Validated
Jan 11, 2026

HowRisky MCP Server

Monte Carlo risk analysis for AI agents. Institutional-grade financial modeling with fat-tail distributions and proprietary KDE algorithms.

8 Tools: Portfolio risk (CVaR, ruin probability), startup equity, real estate, Kelly criterion betting, and more.

Compatible with: Claude Desktop, ChatGPT Desktop, Cursor, Windsurf, Cline, GitHub Copilot, VS Code, Codex


Standard Config

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "howrisky": {
      "command": "npx",
      "args": ["-y", "howrisky-mcp-server"],
      "env": {
        "HOWRISKY_API_KEY": "your-api-key-here"
      }
    }
  }
}

Get your free API key at: https://howrisky.ai/app/settings (100 calls/month free)


Getting Started

Step 1: Get your API key from https://howrisky.ai/app/settings

Step 2: Add the standard config above to your AI tool's MCP configuration

That's it! Your AI can now access Monte Carlo risk simulations.


Installation

Claude Desktop

Edit config file:

  • MacOS: ~/Library/Application Support/Claude/claude_desktop_config.json
  • Windows: %APPDATA%\Claude\claude_desktop_config.json

Add the standard config above.

Restart Claude Desktop.

Test it: Ask Claude "Using HowRisky, what's the risk of a 60/40 portfolio?"

ChatGPT Desktop
  1. Open ChatGPT Desktop Settings
  2. Go to Apps & ConnectorsAdvanced settings
  3. Enable Developer mode
  4. Add MCP server configuration (use standard config above)

Restart ChatGPT Desktop.

Test it: Ask ChatGPT "Use HowRisky to calculate CVaR for 100% SPY portfolio"

Cursor

Add to Cursor's MCP configuration file:

Use the standard config above.

Cursor supports MCP via VS Code extension compatibility.

Windsurf

Add to Windsurf MCP settings:

Use the standard config above.

Windsurf's MCP integration works similarly to Cursor.

Cline (VS Code)

Via Cline MCP Marketplace:

  1. Open Cline in VS Code
  2. Search for "howrisky" in MCP Marketplace
  3. Click Install
  4. Enter API key when prompted

Manual Setup:

Add to VS Code Settings → Extensions → Cline → MCP Servers:

Use the standard config above.

GitHub Copilot / VS Code

Add to VS Code settings.json:

Use the standard config above in the MCP servers configuration section.

Remote Server (HTTP)

For custom integrations or web-based AI tools:

Endpoint: https://mcp.howrisky.ai

Authentication: Include X-API-Key header with your API key

Documentation: https://howrisky.ai/mcp/docs

Example:

curl -X POST https://mcp.howrisky.ai \
  -H "X-API-Key: your-api-key" \
  -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
  -d '{"jsonrpc":"2.0","method":"tools/list","id":1}'

Available Tools

ToolDescription
calculate_portfolio_riskCVaR, VaR, ruin probability, survival probability
simulate_future_timelinesYear-by-year portfolio evolution with percentiles
compare_portfoliosSide-by-side risk comparison of multiple portfolios
text_to_portfolioNatural language → asset allocations
add_startupStartup equity modeling with exit scenarios
add_real_estateReal estate with cash flows, IRR, mortgage analysis
add_private_assetIlliquid asset modeling (PE funds, etc.)
add_gambleKelly criterion for high-risk betting strategies

Full documentation: https://howrisky.ai/mcp/docs


Example Usage

Once configured, ask your AI:

"Using HowRisky, calculate the risk of investing $100K in a 60/40 portfolio over 20 years"

The AI will:

  1. Discover HowRisky tools via tools/list
  2. Call calculate_portfolio_risk with correct parameters
  3. Return CVaR, survival probability, ruin risk, and other metrics

Features

Fat-Tail Modeling - Gaussian models underestimate crash risk by 3-10x. Our proprietary KDE captures reality.

Comprehensive Metrics - 12 risk metrics including CVaR 95/99, VaR, ruin probability, percentiles

Private Assets - Model startups, real estate, PE funds, and high-risk gambles

Tax-Aware - 15+ countries supported (US, GB, DE, FR, IT, ES, JP, AU, CA, etc.)

Custom Scenarios - Override historical data with your own market assumptions


Pricing

TierCalls/MonthPrice
Free100$0
Developer10,000$99
Professional100,000$299
Enterprise1,000,000$999

View pricing: https://howrisky.ai/mcp/pricing


Support


License

Proprietary - Copyright © 2025 Diogo Seca / HowRisky.ai

You may use this software to access HowRisky MCP API. Modification and redistribution prohibited. See LICENSE for details.

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